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July 25, 2025

Happy Friday. The ongoing theme of low volume and a lack of interest in the CBOT continued for another day on Friday, as Chicago ag markets ended the week quietly lower. If it wasn't bad enough the rest of this week, corn and soybean futures mustered all of two-cent trading ranges through the day session today, with there simply being zero interest in taking new positions amid the unknowns of tariff discussions and crop sizes. We try not to sound like a broken record, but until there's more confidence surrounding one or both of these topics in the weeks ahead, there just simply doesn't look to be a lot for traders to get excited about.

 Stay patient with ongoing choppiness into next week, and have a great weekend!

CORN

What has been a quiet week in the corn market otherwise got even quieter on Friday, as both old and new crop contracts couldn't even muster a five cent trading range throughout the session. Aside from daily export sales flashes, there wasn't anything new today from a news standpoint. The yield debate will remain ongoing into next week, but will potentially take a bit of a back seat to the other macro trade-related headlines for a few days, with Trump's trade war back in focus.

SOYBEANS

Headline news was similarly absent the soybean market Friday, with all eyes on trade discussions between the US and China in Sweden next week. It is unclear at this point exactly what kind of progress is expected at the meetings between lower level representatives next week, but that the two sides are seemingly re-engaging is at least on the surface a good sign. That said, we aren't overly optimistic regarding next week, with it remaining the case that any actual deal will likely have to be the result of talks directly between Trump and President Xi, which don't look to occur for another couple months.

WHEAT

Crop tour results from the North Dakota spring wheat crop were largely as expected, and offered yield potential that was solid but maybe not quite as good as last year's record breaking season. Overall though, pricing in the short term likely remains more a product of Russian/European prices and fund activity more so than spring wheat crop prospects in the US.